Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Granada with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 7 (before the first match) against those on March 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 8.7% | 1.9% | −6.8 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 12.1% | 6.9% | −5.2 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 6.7% | 2.0% | −4.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 11.1% | 15.7% | +4.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 92.4% | 96.3% | +4.0 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 6.3% | 2.7% | −3.5 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 23.5% | 26.9% | +3.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 23.9% | 26.9% | +3.0 |
