Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 2 (before the first match) against those on March 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 51.3% | 72.5% | +21.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 32.7% | 18.4% | −14.2 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 77.8% | 65.2% | −12.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 23.0% | 12.3% | −10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 71.5% | 81.9% | +10.4 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 14.1% | 6.3% | −7.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 84.6% | 92.4% | +7.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Conference League | 14.8% | 7.6% | −7.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 21.8% | 15.4% | −6.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 35.5% | 41.4% | +5.9 |