Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Espanyol with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 3 (before the first match) against those on January 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 40.8% | 27.8% | −13.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 26.4% | 36.3% | +9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 22.2% | 31.5% | +9.4 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 64.8% | 73.2% | +8.4 |
| Levante | Relegation | 87.3% | 81.0% | −6.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 65.2% | 69.5% | +4.3 |