Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Valencia with a 18.8% chance, Getafe beat Real Madrid with a 19.6% chance, and Celta Vigo beat Real Betis with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 22 (before the first match) against those on January 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Champions League | 47.4% | 33.1% | −14.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 77.8% | 65.2% | −12.6 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 19.6% | 31.5% | +11.9 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 29.2% | 18.2% | −11.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 45.5% | 56.3% | +10.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 37.2% | 46.2% | +9.0 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 58.3% | 64.8% | +6.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 28.2% | 22.2% | −6.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 82.0% | 87.3% | +5.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 12.1% | 7.1% | −5.1 |
