Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Barcelona with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 25 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 51.9% | 65.6% | +13.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 47.9% | 38.0% | −9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 10.2% | 18.2% | +7.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 49.7% | 41.9% | −7.8 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 17.0% | 24.8% | +7.8 |
| Elche | Relegation | 30.3% | 37.9% | +7.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 31.9% | 28.2% | −3.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 5.3% | 8.6% | +3.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 79.0% | 75.8% | −3.1 |
