Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tenerife beat Real Oviedo with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Champions League | 43.0% | 55.4% | +12.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 34.2% | 24.3% | −9.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 30.0% | 21.0% | −9.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 42.4% | 50.9% | +8.6 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 37.1% | 44.7% | +7.6 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 17.9% | 10.3% | −7.5 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 18.9% | 12.1% | −6.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 28.7% | 22.0% | −6.8 |
| Mallorca | Champion | 11.2% | 17.8% | +6.6 |
| Salamanca | Relegation play-off | 21.7% | 15.9% | −5.8 |
