Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Real Betis with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Relegation | 65.5% | 54.5% | −10.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 18.0% | 28.7% | +10.7 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 21.6% | 11.2% | −10.4 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 23.6% | 13.5% | −10.1 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 34.0% | 43.0% | +9.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 27.7% | 18.9% | −8.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 53.9% | 62.1% | +8.2 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 19.2% | 11.3% | −7.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 20.5% | 28.4% | +7.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 35.3% | 42.4% | +7.1 |
