Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Barcelona with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 21 (before the first match) against those on February 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 35.0% | 55.2% | +20.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 34.3% | 22.9% | −11.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 55.2% | 44.4% | −10.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 11.5% | 20.6% | +9.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 42.9% | 34.0% | −8.9 |
| Valencia | Champion | 4.3% | 12.2% | +7.8 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 60.7% | 53.9% | −6.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 91.8% | 85.2% | −6.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 19.6% | 13.1% | −6.5 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 26.2% | 32.3% | +6.1 |
