Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Espanyol with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 28 (before the first match) against those on March 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura | Relegation | 49.7% | 66.3% | +16.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 50.3% | 34.4% | −15.8 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 60.3% | 45.7% | −14.6 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 35.5% | 49.9% | +14.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 55.2% | 68.3% | +13.1 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 53.9% | 42.1% | −11.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 55.0% | 66.6% | +11.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 30.8% | 19.3% | −11.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 22.9% | 33.9% | +11.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 44.4% | 54.2% | +9.8 |
