Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Real Madrid with a 23.5% chance and Real Valladolid beat Valencia with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 14 (before the first match) against those on February 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | Relegation | 42.1% | 60.7% | +18.6 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 48.2% | 65.6% | +17.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 20.2% | 34.7% | +14.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 48.5% | 35.0% | −13.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 54.5% | 42.9% | −11.6 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 35.9% | 26.2% | −9.7 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 54.9% | 46.2% | −8.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 27.8% | 19.6% | −8.2 |
| Mallorca | Champion | 7.8% | 15.5% | +7.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 9.5% | 16.7% | +7.3 |
