Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Atlético Madrid with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 7 (before the first match) against those on February 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 38.1% | 53.0% | +14.8 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 34.8% | 48.2% | +13.4 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 29.0% | 42.1% | +13.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 82.2% | 90.7% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 56.7% | 48.5% | −8.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 23.7% | 31.8% | +8.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 65.8% | 57.9% | −7.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 18.0% | 10.5% | −7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 61.7% | 54.5% | −7.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 15.9% | 9.1% | −6.8 |
