Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Mallorca with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 17 (before the first match) against those on January 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 34.0% | 48.1% | +14.1 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 53.8% | 39.7% | −14.0 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 42.3% | 31.6% | −10.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 52.1% | 41.5% | −10.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 32.0% | 41.5% | +9.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 60.0% | 68.8% | +8.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 19.0% | 26.9% | +7.9 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 33.0% | 40.3% | +7.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 30.4% | 23.2% | −7.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 10.7% | 17.7% | +7.0 |
