Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Racing Santander with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 10 (before the first match) against those on January 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 47.8% | 60.0% | +12.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 44.0% | 32.0% | −12.0 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 64.4% | 53.8% | −10.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 42.2% | 52.1% | +9.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 42.9% | 34.0% | −8.9 |
| Mallorca | Champion | 22.3% | 13.9% | −8.3 |
| Villarreal | Relegation play-off | 21.0% | 12.7% | −8.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 65.6% | 73.4% | +7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 24.5% | 31.9% | +7.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 11.6% | 19.0% | +7.4 |
