Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 6 (before the first match) against those on January 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 54.9% | 42.2% | −12.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 54.9% | 65.6% | +10.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 35.2% | 24.5% | −10.7 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 56.5% | 64.4% | +7.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 40.2% | 47.8% | +7.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 16.9% | 9.6% | −7.3 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 41.7% | 49.0% | +7.2 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 18.4% | 11.5% | −6.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 16.9% | 23.6% | +6.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 14.9% | 21.3% | +6.4 |
