Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Barcelona with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 12 (before the first match) against those on January 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 32.8% | 47.1% | +14.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 53.1% | 41.0% | −12.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 68.2% | 79.4% | +11.2 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 24.8% | 16.7% | −8.1 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 17.5% | 25.5% | +8.0 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 26.8% | 34.6% | +7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 80.0% | 73.8% | −6.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 9.1% | 15.2% | +6.0 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 13.8% | 8.5% | −5.3 |
| Mérida | Relegation play-off | 29.9% | 35.0% | +5.1 |
