Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Athletic Club with a 18.3% chance and Mallorca beat Valencia with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 57.6% | 43.0% | −14.6 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 31.6% | 44.2% | +12.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 22.6% | 33.3% | +10.6 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 22.5% | 12.9% | −9.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 30.9% | 39.8% | +8.9 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 10.0% | 17.2% | +7.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 15.1% | 8.2% | −6.9 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 11.4% | 18.0% | +6.5 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 44.0% | 50.3% | +6.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 35.1% | 29.0% | −6.1 |
