Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, no draws and 7 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Barcelona with a 22.2% chance, Sporting Gijón beat Real Betis with a 18.1% chance, Espanyol beat Real Madrid with a 23.4% chance, and Sevilla beat Real Oviedo with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 75.4% | 95.8% | +20.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 75.4% | 95.8% | +20.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 24.6% | 4.2% | −20.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 21.4% | 2.2% | −19.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 21.4% | 2.2% | −19.1 |
| Sevilla | Relegation play-off | 32.1% | 15.4% | −16.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 10.8% | 26.3% | +15.5 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 53.9% | 38.9% | −15.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 6.8% | 21.6% | +14.8 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 22.3% | 10.2% | −12.1 |
