Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Compostela beat Sevilla with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 4 (before the first match) against those on January 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | Europa League | 17.4% | 26.1% | +8.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 15.8% | 8.8% | −7.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 15.8% | 8.8% | −7.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 61.0% | 67.2% | +6.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 61.0% | 67.2% | +6.2 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 30.4% | 35.9% | +5.6 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 47.2% | 52.7% | +5.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation play-off | 17.1% | 13.4% | −3.7 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 13.5% | 9.8% | −3.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 14.5% | 10.9% | −3.6 |
