Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Compostela beat Celta Vigo with a 20.1% chance and Tenerife beat Sevilla with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on September 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 16.4% | 6.5% | −9.9 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation play-off | 22.1% | 14.8% | −7.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 42.6% | 49.7% | +7.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 22.5% | 28.6% | +6.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 17.9% | 11.9% | −6.0 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 9.4% | 3.9% | −5.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 9.4% | 3.9% | −5.4 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 53.4% | 58.4% | +5.0 |
| Albacete | Relegation play-off | 18.6% | 23.6% | +5.0 |
| Compostela | Relegation play-off | 15.4% | 10.4% | −5.0 |
