Round 28

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
BrusqueRelegation70.8%45.0%−25.9
ChapecoenseRelegation50.8%26.3%−24.5
Vila NovaPromotion57.5%35.7%−21.8
MirassolPromotion27.3%45.3%+18.0
ItuanoRelegation39.3%57.1%+17.7
GuaraniRelegation63.9%78.0%+14.0
PaysanduRelegation40.0%53.8%+13.8
AmazonasPromotion19.2%7.0%−12.2
América-MGPromotion17.6%29.6%+12.0
SportPromotion55.5%65.7%+10.2
Home 48.6%
Draw 24.5%
Away 26.9%
Home 37.3%
Draw 27.6%
Away 35.0%
Home 35.6%
Draw 27.8%
Away 36.6%
Home 30.9%
Draw 26.0%
Away 43.1%
Home 28.4%
Draw 25.1%
Away 46.5%
Home 40.0%
Draw 26.9%
Away 33.1%
Home 28.4%
Draw 25.1%
Away 46.4%
Home 33.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away 39.7%
Home 66.0%
Draw 20.2%
Away 13.9%
Home 32.5%
Draw 26.6%
Away 40.9%