Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 50.6% | 18.8% | −31.8 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 85.1% | 63.9% | −21.2 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 48.1% | 27.3% | −20.8 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 40.9% | 57.5% | +16.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 22.3% | 8.5% | −13.9 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 25.9% | 39.3% | +13.4 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 38.6% | 50.8% | +12.2 |
| Sport | Promotion | 66.5% | 55.5% | −11.0 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 59.8% | 70.8% | +11.0 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 17.4% | 27.8% | +10.4 |