Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat América-MG with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 25 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | Relegation | 80.9% | 56.6% | −24.3 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 53.8% | 29.7% | −24.1 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 45.0% | 65.0% | +20.0 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 17.6% | 36.0% | +18.4 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 57.1% | 75.3% | +18.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 28.3% | 44.9% | +16.6 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 26.3% | 12.7% | −13.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 29.6% | 16.9% | −12.7 |
| Santos | Promotion | 84.1% | 94.6% | +10.4 |
| Novorizontino | Champion | 39.4% | 47.8% | +8.5 |
