Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Promotion | 25.8% | 79.1% | +53.3 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 76.5% | 27.1% | −49.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 65.1% | 98.0% | +32.8 |
| Santos | Promotion | 55.2% | 86.2% | +31.0 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 43.7% | 14.5% | −29.3 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 29.9% | 2.2% | −27.7 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 27.2% | 5.6% | −21.6 |
| Sport | Champion | 4.0% | 23.8% | +19.9 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 14.9% | 33.2% | +18.3 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 35.1% | 49.6% | +14.5 |
