Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 69.6% | 47.2% | −22.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 41.5% | 61.9% | +20.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 17.0% | 35.5% | +18.5 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 48.4% | 63.6% | +15.2 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 59.7% | 73.7% | +14.0 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 66.9% | 80.1% | +13.2 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 18.6% | 31.2% | +12.7 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 20.4% | 9.1% | −11.2 |
| Novorizontino | Champion | 23.6% | 33.1% | +9.4 |
| Santos | Promotion | 53.5% | 44.6% | −8.9 |
