Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo-SP beat Mirassol with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 18 (before the first match) against those on August 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 39.5% | 14.9% | −24.6 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 82.2% | 61.2% | −21.0 |
| Mirassol | Champion | 37.5% | 18.0% | −19.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 44.7% | 25.8% | −18.9 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 29.1% | 43.7% | +14.7 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 51.7% | 65.6% | +13.9 |
| Novorizontino | Champion | 21.4% | 35.3% | +13.8 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 15.7% | 27.2% | +11.5 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 19.8% | 29.9% | +10.1 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 8.3% | 17.3% | +9.0 |
