Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Santos with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 13 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | Champion | 19.1% | 37.5% | +18.4 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 10.8% | 29.1% | +18.3 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 68.9% | 51.7% | −17.2 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 58.5% | 75.3% | +16.9 |
| Sport | Promotion | 61.0% | 44.7% | −16.2 |
| Santos | Promotion | 77.0% | 61.6% | −15.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 76.1% | 61.6% | −14.5 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 68.5% | 82.2% | +13.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 22.5% | 9.4% | −13.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 7.4% | 19.8% | +12.4 |
