Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Operário-PR with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | Relegation | 88.8% | 68.9% | −19.9 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 34.6% | 15.3% | −19.3 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 33.8% | 15.0% | −18.9 |
| Sport | Promotion | 44.6% | 61.0% | +16.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 20.1% | 5.5% | −14.6 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 90.7% | 76.1% | −14.6 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 23.8% | 10.8% | −13.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 21.1% | 34.1% | +13.0 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 19.9% | 32.5% | +12.6 |
| Santos | Promotion | 64.4% | 77.0% | +12.5 |
