Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 16 (before the first match) against those on July 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 85.4% | 62.9% | −22.5 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 30.1% | 52.0% | +22.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 77.4% | 56.3% | −21.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 44.7% | 25.2% | −19.5 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 72.6% | 54.8% | −17.8 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 43.5% | 25.7% | −17.8 |
| Sport | Promotion | 49.9% | 32.3% | −17.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 50.3% | 67.3% | +17.0 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 32.2% | 16.8% | −15.4 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 22.0% | 37.3% | +15.3 |