Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tombense beat Bahia with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 22 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | Relegation | 53.4% | 28.1% | −25.3 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 41.5% | 59.9% | +18.4 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 30.7% | 13.6% | −17.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 30.6% | 47.7% | +17.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 46.8% | 29.8% | −16.9 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 55.8% | 39.1% | −16.7 |
| CSA | Relegation | 30.1% | 15.5% | −14.6 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 27.0% | 12.5% | −14.4 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 15.2% | 29.3% | +14.1 |
| CRB | Relegation | 26.1% | 12.1% | −14.0 |
