Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 29 (before the first match) against those on July 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 34.7% | 80.4% | +45.7 |
| CSA | Relegation | 15.5% | 45.3% | +29.8 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 29.3% | 2.4% | −26.9 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 19.4% | 43.1% | +23.7 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 6.8% | 30.0% | +23.2 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 39.1% | 62.0% | +22.9 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 28.1% | 6.4% | −21.7 |
| Sport | Promotion | 29.8% | 9.4% | −20.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 59.2% | 78.3% | +19.1 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 36.2% | 18.6% | −17.6 |
