Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat Grêmio with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 11 (before the first match) against those on August 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 78.4% | 57.1% | −21.2 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 49.4% | 70.3% | +20.9 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 34.0% | 13.7% | −20.2 |
| CSA | Relegation | 44.0% | 62.1% | +18.1 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 62.6% | 76.3% | +13.7 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 72.9% | 85.8% | +12.9 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 92.5% | 82.5% | −10.0 |
| Tombense | Promotion | 14.2% | 5.3% | −8.8 |
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 13.4% | 4.8% | −8.6 |
| CRB | Relegation | 11.1% | 2.9% | −8.2 |
