Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat CRB with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 6 (before the first match) against those on August 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSA | Relegation | 70.2% | 44.0% | −26.2 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 83.2% | 62.6% | −20.7 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 22.4% | 38.1% | +15.7 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 19.5% | 34.0% | +14.5 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 61.2% | 49.4% | −11.8 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 6.6% | 18.1% | +11.5 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 81.8% | 92.5% | +10.6 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 28.2% | 18.5% | −9.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 79.6% | 87.3% | +7.7 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 79.9% | 72.9% | −7.0 |
