Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 9 (before the first match) against those on July 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSA | Relegation | 61.5% | 31.6% | −29.9 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 49.1% | 70.5% | +21.4 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 34.9% | 14.5% | −20.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 34.7% | 52.4% | +17.7 |
| Vasco | Champion | 25.8% | 8.9% | −16.8 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 33.0% | 48.3% | +15.3 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 83.1% | 68.0% | −15.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 54.0% | 68.1% | +14.1 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 57.0% | 70.6% | +13.6 |
| Tombense | Promotion | 23.9% | 11.7% | −12.3 |
