Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 30 (before the first match) against those on July 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 36.2% | 14.5% | −21.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 39.7% | 18.7% | −21.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 13.8% | 31.4% | +17.6 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 23.6% | 8.8% | −14.8 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 9.8% | 22.1% | +12.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 68.9% | 81.2% | +12.3 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 68.5% | 80.2% | +11.7 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 9.5% | 19.0% | +9.6 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 8.0% | 17.1% | +9.0 |
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 6.3% | 15.3% | +9.0 |
