Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Brasil de Pelotas with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 27 (before the first match) against those on July 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 54.8% | 26.9% | −27.9 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 67.0% | 39.5% | −27.4 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 75.3% | 51.1% | −24.2 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 24.6% | 45.2% | +20.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 41.5% | 60.8% | +19.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 27.7% | 46.7% | +19.1 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 49.9% | 31.6% | −18.3 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 18.0% | 35.4% | +17.4 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 30.9% | 47.6% | +16.7 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 13.3% | 26.0% | +12.7 |
