Round 12

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on July 24 (before the first match) against those on July 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
GuaraniRelegation79.0%50.8%−28.2
VitóriaRelegation64.5%39.1%−25.3
ParanáPromotion71.1%49.9%−21.3
Atlético-GOPromotion21.5%41.5%+20.0
SportPromotion22.4%42.0%+19.6
ParanáChampion29.8%13.0%−16.7
Vila NovaRelegation38.3%54.8%+16.5
Red Bull BragantinoChampion24.1%40.6%+16.5
CRBPromotion19.9%36.2%+16.3
Botafogo-SPPromotion34.3%19.2%−15.1
Home 31.2%
Draw 26.2%
Away 42.6%
Home 34.6%
Draw 27.4%
Away 38.0%
Home 37.6%
Draw 27.6%
Away 34.9%
Home 30.1%
Draw 25.7%
Away 44.1%
Home 46.4%
Draw 25.1%
Away 28.5%
Home 34.4%
Draw 27.4%
Away 38.2%
Home 32.6%
Draw 26.7%
Away 40.8%
Home 28.4%
Draw 25.1%
Away 46.5%
Home 42.8%
Draw 26.1%
Away 31.1%
Home 26.0%
Draw 24.2%
Away 49.8%