Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Sampaio Corrêa with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 21 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 58.3% | 28.1% | −30.1 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 86.9% | 58.1% | −28.8 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 79.3% | 59.5% | −19.8 |
| CSA | Promotion | 49.3% | 68.0% | +18.8 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 62.4% | 79.6% | +17.1 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 69.3% | 83.4% | +14.1 |
| CRB | Relegation | 37.1% | 51.1% | +13.9 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 17.8% | 30.0% | +12.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 17.4% | 29.5% | +12.1 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 16.9% | 23.4% | +6.6 |
