Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Guarani beat Coritiba with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | Relegation | 51.1% | 20.6% | −30.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 58.1% | 86.5% | +28.3 |
| CSA | Promotion | 68.0% | 91.3% | +23.3 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 23.4% | 4.1% | −19.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 29.5% | 14.3% | −15.2 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 83.4% | 95.5% | +12.1 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 30.0% | 19.1% | −10.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 3.4% | 11.9% | +8.6 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 87.3% | 95.8% | +8.5 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 28.1% | 20.6% | −7.6 |
