Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Brasil de Pelotas with a 23.4% chance and CRB beat Goiás with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 14 (before the first match) against those on October 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | Relegation | 71.7% | 37.1% | −34.5 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 39.4% | 58.3% | +18.9 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 51.1% | 69.3% | +18.2 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 73.4% | 90.8% | +17.4 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 76.2% | 62.4% | −13.8 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 91.4% | 79.3% | −12.1 |
| Goiás | Champion | 15.8% | 4.0% | −11.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 7.0% | 17.4% | +10.4 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 76.5% | 86.5% | +9.9 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 9.4% | 17.8% | +8.4 |
