Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Goiás with a 23.3% chance and Paysandu beat Guarani with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on July 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | Relegation | 47.7% | 24.7% | −22.9 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 28.9% | 51.0% | +22.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 15.7% | 37.3% | +21.6 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 43.3% | 22.6% | −20.7 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 44.1% | 23.8% | −20.3 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 46.0% | 26.5% | −19.5 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 53.7% | 34.9% | −18.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 55.6% | 74.2% | +18.6 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 44.7% | 30.2% | −14.5 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 75.8% | 90.2% | +14.4 |
