Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Guarani with a 23.0% chance and Boa Esporte beat Ponte Preta with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 14 (before the first match) against those on July 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 46.8% | 25.7% | −21.1 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 35.7% | 55.6% | +20.0 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 9.1% | 28.9% | +19.8 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 28.9% | 46.0% | +17.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 45.1% | 28.7% | −16.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 91.8% | 75.8% | −16.0 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 31.7% | 47.7% | +16.0 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 31.5% | 19.6% | −12.0 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 20.2% | 9.4% | −10.8 |
| CRB | Relegation | 8.3% | 19.0% | +10.7 |
