Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Juventude with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 25 (before the first match) against those on July 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 47.1% | 74.1% | +27.1 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 14.7% | 35.0% | +20.3 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 34.9% | 53.7% | +18.8 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 51.0% | 32.4% | −18.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 37.1% | 21.0% | −16.1 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 26.5% | 42.2% | +15.7 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 9.8% | 25.0% | +15.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 38.9% | 23.9% | −15.0 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 90.2% | 75.5% | −14.7 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 17.7% | 31.3% | +13.6 |
