Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Vila Nova with a 19.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 29 (before the first match) against those on August 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luverdense | Relegation | 55.5% | 31.9% | −23.6 |
| Internacional | Promotion | 35.0% | 56.5% | +21.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 22.4% | 42.1% | +19.8 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 18.1% | 35.4% | +17.3 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 29.8% | 12.7% | −17.1 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 51.2% | 35.2% | −16.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 36.9% | 21.5% | −15.4 |
| América-MG | Champion | 47.0% | 61.0% | +14.0 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 38.5% | 24.8% | −13.7 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 12.6% | 24.6% | +11.9 |
