Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Brasil de Pelotas with a 14.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 22 (before the first match) against those on July 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Relegation | 90.3% | 65.4% | −24.9 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 44.6% | 24.7% | −19.9 |
| CRB | Promotion | 33.5% | 15.3% | −18.3 |
| Oeste | Promotion | 24.9% | 9.3% | −15.6 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 36.2% | 51.2% | +15.0 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 40.9% | 55.5% | +14.7 |
| Internacional | Promotion | 20.5% | 35.0% | +14.5 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 26.6% | 13.7% | −12.8 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 20.5% | 7.9% | −12.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 49.5% | 61.8% | +12.3 |
