Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat América-MG with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 2 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 66.4% | 39.7% | −26.7 |
| América-MG | Champion | 61.0% | 34.3% | −26.7 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 33.1% | 14.1% | −19.0 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 35.4% | 16.6% | −18.8 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 31.9% | 50.5% | +18.7 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 35.2% | 50.6% | +15.4 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 15.4% | 30.5% | +15.1 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 24.8% | 10.3% | −14.5 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 92.2% | 78.3% | −13.9 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 21.5% | 7.8% | −13.7 |
