Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Ceará with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 19 (before the first match) against those on July 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 42.6% | 18.1% | −24.5 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 37.7% | 17.3% | −20.5 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 15.9% | 36.2% | +20.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 32.2% | 49.5% | +17.3 |
| América-MG | Champion | 24.4% | 40.8% | +16.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 62.1% | 78.0% | +15.9 |
| Internacional | Promotion | 35.4% | 20.5% | −14.9 |
| Oeste | Promotion | 11.4% | 24.9% | +13.5 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 39.9% | 26.6% | −13.3 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 13.5% | 26.2% | +12.7 |
