Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat Criciúma with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 9 (before the first match) against those on October 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Champion | 36.4% | 13.3% | −23.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Champion | 47.2% | 69.5% | +22.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 88.3% | 68.2% | −20.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 25.7% | 9.8% | −15.8 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 46.2% | 60.1% | +13.9 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 55.1% | 68.5% | +13.4 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 89.0% | 77.4% | −11.7 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 92.4% | 81.2% | −11.2 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 35.4% | 24.2% | −11.2 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 27.4% | 38.5% | +11.1 |
