Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 5 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 67.7% | 46.2% | −21.5 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 56.0% | 35.4% | −20.6 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 36.6% | 55.1% | +18.5 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 74.5% | 92.4% | +17.9 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 19.8% | 5.2% | −14.6 |
| Avaí | Champion | 18.5% | 4.4% | −14.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 74.4% | 88.3% | +13.9 |
| Vasco | Champion | 22.6% | 36.4% | +13.8 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 14.4% | 27.4% | +13.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 14.6% | 25.7% | +11.1 |
