Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat América-MG with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 28 (before the first match) against those on June 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 66.0% | 52.0% | −14.0 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 51.2% | 39.7% | −11.5 |
| ABC | Promotion | 25.0% | 36.4% | +11.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 13.2% | 23.8% | +10.6 |
| América-MG | Champion | 27.2% | 17.8% | −9.3 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 35.2% | 26.9% | −8.3 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 18.0% | 10.0% | −8.0 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 12.3% | 19.8% | +7.6 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 37.7% | 45.1% | +7.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 27.0% | 34.4% | +7.4 |
