Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 5 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat ABC with a 17.2% chance, Santa Cruz beat Boa Esporte with a 24.4% chance, Ponte Preta beat Paraná with a 24.5% chance, Sampaio Corrêa beat Portuguesa with a 23.8% chance, and Avaí beat Náutico with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 25 (before the first match) against those on May 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 29.6% | 44.5% | +15.0 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 23.7% | 37.7% | +13.9 |
| América-MG | Champion | 40.5% | 27.2% | −13.3 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 78.4% | 66.0% | −12.4 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 41.2% | 29.4% | −11.9 |
| ABC | Promotion | 36.7% | 25.0% | −11.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 29.1% | 17.4% | −11.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 14.6% | 25.1% | +10.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 36.3% | 46.7% | +10.4 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 25.6% | 15.2% | −10.4 |
